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Axios Sneak Peek

Axios

By Mike Allen

Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas has found a new way to measure House Republicans’ peril: “vulnerability ratio” (net number of seats at risk vs. number needed to flip).

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GOP Women Seek to Keep Numbers From Dwindling in the House

The Wall Street Journal

By Kristina Peterson

With more than a quarter of the current 23 House Republican women leaving Congress after this year, GOP women are working to replenish their ranks in primary elections like Thursday’s crowded showdown in this Knoxville district.

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100 days: Dems have midterm edge, but it’s not historic

The Hill

By Reid Wilson

“Everything politics has taught us in the last four decades suggests you want to be the party out of the White House in a midterm when the president’s net approval is as low as it is today,” said Bruce Mehlman, a Republican lobbyist who closely tracks electoral trends.

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History argues for Democratic Senate gains

The Hill

By Reid Wilson

Senate Democrats have one enormous advantage even as they face one of the most difficult political terrains in recent memory: They are not the party that controls the White House.

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