News

GOP Women Seek to Keep Numbers From Dwindling in the House

The Wall Street Journal

By Kristina Peterson

With more than a quarter of the current 23 House Republican women leaving Congress after this year, GOP women are working to replenish their ranks in primary elections like Thursday’s crowded showdown in this Knoxville district.

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100 days: Dems have midterm edge, but it’s not historic

The Hill

By Reid Wilson

“Everything politics has taught us in the last four decades suggests you want to be the party out of the White House in a midterm when the president’s net approval is as low as it is today,” said Bruce Mehlman, a Republican lobbyist who closely tracks electoral trends.

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History argues for Democratic Senate gains

The Hill

By Reid Wilson

Senate Democrats have one enormous advantage even as they face one of the most difficult political terrains in recent memory: They are not the party that controls the White House.

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Midterm history 101

The Washington Post

By Paul Kane

In 2012, Sen. Sherrod Brown faced more than $24 million in ads from conservative groups opposing his first reelection. Six years later, the Democrat has been forgotten as outside groups have almost entirely abandoned the Ohio airwaves, vastly improving his chances to win a third term in November.

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Wave Watch: Surge Indicators for Dems

Axios

By Mike Allen

A series of measures of the national mood, especially presidential and congressional approval, are similar to past wave elections, pointing to a potential bonanza for Dems, lobbyist Bruce Mehlman points out in a new presentation.

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Mulvaney as chief of staff, boon or bust for budget hawks?

PoliticoPro

By JENNIFER SCHOLTES and KAITLYN BURTON

“I think it’s evident that the administration will take a fiscal hard line on negotiations,” says Mike Robinson, a former House GOP appropriations aide who is now a lobbyist at Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas.

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Mindless Tribalism Infecting American Politics

National Journal

By Josh Kraushaar

This week’s NBC/Wall Street Journal poll contained news of a disheartening but unsurprising development: Voters in both parties hate the opposition more than they support their own side’s policies. This dynamic, known as negative polarization, is poisoning our politics and contributing to a mindless tribalism.

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The Most Amazing Breakdown of Politics in Trump’s America

The Daily Caller

By Henry Rodgers

The well-known government affairs firm Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas did an incredible job of summarizing the current state of play in D.C. politics in a must-read memo published June 4. It lays out 10 important trends that are critical to strategic government relations planning.

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#MeToo, Social Media, and Keeping an Eye on the Big Picture

The Cook Political Report

By Charlie Cook

Far more interesting to me even this week are the broader changes in American politics and society. Some of the more interesting things that cross my desk are PowerPoint presentations prepared by some of the sharpest and most thoughtful minds in Washington, people like Bruce Mehlman and Doug Sosnik. Bruce, a Republican, and Doug, a Democrat, have watched Washington up close for well over a combined half century, and have acquired the ability to explain political trends and developments in a visually powerful way, preparing slide decks for clients and friends that have developed a cult following among political aficionados.

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